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Archive for the 'Teranet-National Bank House Price Index' Category

In November, the Teranet–National Bank National Composite House Price Index™ was down 0.5% from the previous month, the third consecutive monthly decline and the largest for a month of November outside of a recession. Indexes were down for four of the 11 metropolitan areas surveyed: Toronto (−1.4%), Hamilton (−1.6%), Ottawa-Gatineau (−0.8%) and Edmonton (−0.7%). Indexes for the two West Coast markets, Vancouver and Victoria, were flat. Indexes were up for Montreal (1.0%), Quebec City (0.9%), Halifax (0.8%), (Calgary 0.7%) and Winnipeg (0.5%). For Toronto, it was the fourth straight monthly decline, for a total drop of 7.1%. For Hamilton, it was the third straight decline, for Ottawa-Gatineau and Edmonton the second.

However, the raw index* for Toronto was up 0.2% in November after four consecutive monthly declines totalling −8.5%. The retreat did not occur uniformly across all types of housing. The condo sub-index fell 4.4% in two months and then partly recovered with a gain of 2.3% over the last two months. Meanwhile, the sub-index for other types of housing declined in each of the last five months, for a total drop of −10.8%. Last month’s decline was the smallest of the five at −0.6%. November’s increase in the raw index could have been caused by some buyers rushing to buy before the implementation in January of the new ruling on qualification to an uninsured mortgage. The assumption of a rush is based on the fact that sales rose from October to November, bucking the usual seasonal trend.

Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index™

The stabilization of the Vancouver index in November came after six consecutive months of all-time highs. The condo subindex has been especially vigorous, 10 consecutive months of increases for a total rise of 19.0%. The Montreal and Halifax indexes were also at record highs.

In November the composite index was up 9.2% from a year earlier, the smallest 12-month gain since June 2016 and a fourth consecutive deceleration from record 12-month gains of 14.2% in both June and July. The November 12-month rise was led by Victoria (14.0%), Vancouver (13.5%), Hamilton (12.3%) and Toronto (10.6%). The 12-month advance was much smaller in Montreal (6.7%), Ottawa-Gatineau (4.9%), Halifax (2.1%), Calgary (1.8%), Quebec City (1.0%), Winnipeg (0.8%) and Edmonton (0.2%).

Among 14 markets not included in the countrywide composite index, indexes for Barrie and Oshawa were down for a fourth straight month and those for Brantford and Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo for a third straight month. All 14 indexes were nevertheless up from a year earlier, though the 12-month increase ranged widely from 3.7% in Thunder Bay to 19.3% in the St. Catharines–Niagara market

For the full report including historical data, please visit our website: https://housepriceindex.ca

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Index Retreated 1% in October

Author: GeoWarehouse
November 15, 2017

In October the Teranet–National Bank National Composite House Price Index™ was down 1.0% from the previous month, a second consecutive monthly decline and the largest since September 2010. The retreat was due to a 2.8% drop of the index for the Toronto market, the country’s largest. Indexes were also down on the month for five other metropolitan areas of the composite index: Hamilton (−1.8%), Edmonton (−0.7%), Winnipeg (−0.7%), Ottawa-Gatineau (−0.3%) and Calgary (−0.2%). Indexes were up on the month for Halifax (1.3%), Vancouver (0.7%), Quebec City (0.6%), Montreal (0.4%) and Victoria (0.1%). For Toronto’s index it was the third straight monthly decline and for Hamilton’s the second, in both cases following 18 consecutive monthly gains. The declines of the Calgary and Edmonton indexes ended runs of six monthly gains, that of the Ottawa-Gatineau index a run of five gains. The Vancouver, Victoria and Montreal indexes were at record highs in October.

The index for Vancouver dropped after the August 2016 implementation of a tax on acquisitions by foreigners. But the market remained tight and by the beginning of this year the index had regained the lost ground. It has risen to new records in each of the last six months. Victoria’s has risen to a new record for an eighth straight month.

Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index™

Among 14 markets not included in the countrywide composite index, indexes were down on the month for all but one of the 12 in Ontario, the exception being Kingston.

In October the composite index was up 10.0% from a year earlier, the smallest 12-month rise since June 2016. It was the third consecutive deceleration from the record 12-month gains of 14.2% in both June and July. The October 12-month rise was led by Toronto (13.4%), Hamilton (15.7%), Vancouver (12.0%) and Victoria (14.4%). With this result Vancouver has rejoined the ranks of markets whose indexes have risen more than the countrywide average. The 12-month advance was much smaller in Montreal (6.5%), Ottawa-Gatineau (5.0%), Halifax (1.9%), Calgary (1.8%), Edmonton (0.8%), Quebec City (0.6%) and Winnipeg (0.1%).

Index values were up from a year earlier in all 14 of the markets not included in the composite index, though the 12-month increase ranged widely – from 1.0% in Thunder Bay to 23.6% in St. Catharines–Niagara

For the full report including historical data, please visit: www.housepriceindex.ca

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